Just a quick note today, to record some thoughts on Ukraine. Having no hard information whatsoever, the feeling grows
here that Vladmir Putin has accepted, as does significant numbers of others,
that invading Ukraine was a mistake. While the Ukrainians themselves are far
more formidable than believed, Putin’s own troops are far weaker than
thought, as well. Therefore, the conflict could potentially endure for years in
the future, draining Russian assets and relationships further.
Now anticipating far less spoils of war, particularly territorially,
the intelligent thing to do would be to write the invasion off and pull out.
But Putin, pompous, egotist that he is, either cannot or will not personally
accept the logic. So, what to do about it?
In the last few days, articles and broadcasts have begun
mentioning “rumors” about Putin’s health. Katie Davis writes @/www.the-sun.com,
“[Ukrainian] Major General Kyrylo
Budanov, 36, believes the tyrant's calamitous war in Ukraine will hit a "breaking
point" in summer and be over before the end of the year.” The official told Sky News that Putin will
be ousted from office within this time as his invasion continues to stall in
the face of stiff Ukrainian resistance - with rumours continuing to swirl about
the Russian president's health.”
General
Budanov said: "The breaking point will be in the second part of August.
"Most
of the active combat actions will have finished by the end of this year.
"As
a result, we will renew Ukrainian power in all our territories that we have
lost including Donbas and the Crimea."
“Putin
had been hoping for a swift victory in Ukraine - but the faltering
invasion has seen thousands of Russian soldiers killed and huge amounts of
hardware destroyed by hero defenders.
“General
Budanov believes the war will be over within months and will see Putin - who he
says is seriously ill with cancer - removed from power.
He
told the outlet: "It will eventually lead to the change of leadership of
the Russian Federation.
"This
process has already been launched and they are moving into that way."
Therefore, whether the
general’s timetables work out to the specifics or not, his conclusions seem
highly probable to be accurate. And one way or another, Putin’s health will be
the basis for a face-saving exit strategy from his mistaken invasion of Ukraine.
That’s it for today
folks.
Adios
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