Friday, April 20, 2012

BloggeRhythms 4/20/2012

There's plenty of time until the presidential election, probably too much in fact, and there are all kinds of opinions and predictions regarding what the outcome will be.  However, since no one on earth can really know what will happen in the future, anyone's guess is as good as any other.

Nonetheless, there is substantial information available today that certainly provides clear indications of likely probabilities if things remain predominately the same as they are at present. And in that regard, it looks to me like Mitt Romney has an excellent chance of upsetting the incumbent.

The reason I think that is, technically he hasn't even won his party's nomination, nor begun a focused, hard issue based campaign against the president and yet, a new RealClearPolitics poll puts the incumbent at 47 percent and Romney at 44.2 percent,  a statistically insignificant 2.2 percent lead.

But far more important than the overall statistics to me are the signs in a CBS poll that shows only 33 percent of Americans believe the economy is moving in the right direction, just 16 percent feel they are getting ahead financially and 38 percent think their situation will get worse if the president's re-elected.

And if these are the trends today, before the real battle for the White House has even begun, I sense things are looking quite dim for it's current occupant. However, as I stated at the start, since there's plenty of time left until November, if I were Mitt Romney I'd keep my rhetoric simple, avoid doing anything rash or controversial and just keep letting the incumbent and his record keep burying themselves.

That's it for today folks.

Adios

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