Wednesday, September 21, 2016

BloggeRhythms

While headline news focuses on terrorism in the Northeast and rioting in Charlotte, the MSM seems to be waiting for the Fed decision on a possible interest hike this afternoon as well as predictions regarding the upcoming presidential debate Monday night.

As far as the election itself is concerned, Paul Bedard @washingtonexaminer.com, writes: “The latest vote projection from elections guru Nate Silver has Republican Donald Trump just six electoral votes short of winning and one point away from equaling Hillary Clinton's popular vote.

“The newest Five Thirty Eight survey Trump at 264 and Clinton at 272, two more than needed. It's the closest in recent weeks. 

“What's more, he has the popular vote within the margin of victory, Clinton 45.4 percent to Trump's 44.3 percent.”

Most important about the narrowing race is that Silver is “famous for making a prediction of victory.” In that regard, Silver has Clinton at 51.9 percent and Trump at 48 percent, “his closest since the conventions.”

“The chart shows a huge gain for Trump, recovering from just a 3 percent chance of winning a month ago.”

However, while the polls and guru’s provide predication's based on traditional statistics, other indicators illustrate some quite telling results.   

Julie Bykowicz and Chad Day report @bigstory.ap.org: “Hillary Clinton spent $645,000 more a day than her opponent Donald Trump last month, but even with her $50 million campaign outlay, she has not been able to pull away from him in the race for the White House.

“Clinton's campaign had its most expensive month to date in August, eclipsing its previous monthly high by more than $12 million. And combined, Clinton and the national Democratic Party paid out $78 million in August, while Trump and the Republican National Committee spent about $47 million. 

“While both candidates are raising huge sums from donors, their lopsided spending lays bare the difference in the two major party presidential campaigns. Clinton is running a conventional operation featuring multimillion-dollar ad buys and expansive voter outreach. Trump has kept spending down by enjoying seemingly limitless free media coverage and outsourcing the guts of his voter contact duties to the Republican Party. 

“The spending disparity has also become a favored Trump boast.” 

Thus, the trend toward Trump seems indicative of his rivals inability to grow her base of supporters while his attractiveness mounts. And, most likely, that’s because other than those remaining steadfast regardless, huge numbers of voters have tired of waiting for promise fulfillment that never materializes on the Democrat side of the aisle. 

Further proof of the emptiness of Democrat rhetoric came from Bill Clinton’s wife herself yesterday in an article she wrote @nytimes.com, which also serves as today’s update on her.  

In the midst of the piece she writes: “a new report from the Census Bureau found that there were 3.5 million fewer people living in poverty in 2015 than just a year before. 

“Median incomes rose by 5.2 percent, the fastest growth on record. Households at all income levels saw gains, with the largest going to those struggling the most. The census report makes clear that when hard-working Americans get a small boost — like food stamps and health insurance thanks to the Affordable Care Act — they can climb out of poverty.” 

To that Gary D. Halbert @valuewalk.com, responded with details which show that the actuality is quite similar to how the administration now reports unemployment results. Because, for appearance purposes, the traditional reporting data’s been changed to omit the long-term idle, thereby presenting a far lower percentage than the reality which is approximately double the size.     

In today's case, according to Mr. Halbert: “In 2013, the Census Bureau started to materially change the questions asked in the survey. In 2014, it also changed the methods used in calculating annual household incomes. The government began to ask more questions about how household income is generated. It also added more detailed answer options for survey questions in an effort to reduce “Don’t Know” responses. 

“There were other changes implemented in 2013 and 2014, but these two alone could have resulted in a considerably higher than expected increase in median household income in 2015. The Census Bureau actually admits as much in the footnotes to its latest report, saying: “The data for 2013 and beyond reflect the implementation of the redesigned income questions.”
 
Furthermore: “[T]he Census Bureau’s official poverty rate does not include non-cash government assistance such as food stamps, housing vouchers, refundable tax credits and other government benefits which in reality have helped lift many Americans out of poverty.” 

Thus, in reality, this segment of society truly is in poverty for all intents and purposes. However when government handouts are provided they statistically rise above that level. And that’s where the Democrats problem lies. Because, no matter what cosmetics are applied, those in the dire situation know it, as do intelligent voters. 

All of which means that, once again, except for the die-hard leftists who believe that governments the answer to everything, the majority of voters certainly seem fed up with a platform based on double-talk, falsehoods and smoke and mirrors.     

Which is a further indication that a commitment to stay the current course, as promised by Bill’s wife, may very well result in the election’s loss. Bringing up the ongoing question once more: Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Jerry Brown, and Starbucks chairman and CEO, Howard Schultz; are you guys reading this?    
  
That's it for today folks. 
 
Adios

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